Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 186.665901 208.832429 233.191670 262.051765 295.445323 333.029318 378.754440
2025-04-20 157.430606 187.991409 224.423084 271.499449 331.367627 405.844174 506.904799
2025-04-27 142.117734 177.289889 221.604047 282.447515 365.267306 476.249251 640.054835
2025-05-04 127.617250 164.577218 213.163645 283.118993 383.666941 526.876207 753.790688
2025-05-11 114.010715 150.950615 201.185657 276.358394 389.372482 558.823003 844.279868
2025-05-18 103.476336 140.150591 191.515957 271.035683 395.486854 591.013708 939.702435
2025-05-25 98.358946 136.296507 191.039285 278.789210 421.979218 658.342140 1106.604762
2025-06-01 91.795404 129.628915 185.594090 277.973745 434.194874 703.371086 1242.488899
2025-06-08 85.121296 122.166640 178.150173 272.948058 438.372751 734.532951 1357.874133
2025-06-15 80.470019 117.363254 174.318918 273.272938 451.560924 783.617709 1519.941640
2025-06-22 75.078625 110.971073 167.375667 267.512141 452.898240 810.117594 1639.265938
2025-06-29 71.052456 106.432830 163.035415 265.747338 461.259725 851.492021 1801.907965
2025-07-06 65.414605 99.017570 153.536562 254.195503 450.095833 852.368121 1871.505673
2025-07-13 63.910912 98.270665 155.208553 263.133342 480.435654 946.769740 2204.173300
2025-07-20 62.763774 98.005993 157.638379 273.672169 515.452132 1058.293818 2620.801618
2025-07-27 60.149576 95.053701 155.082481 274.317713 529.626772 1124.082845 2929.623298
2025-08-03 56.702747 90.440544 149.201632 267.814599 527.307219 1149.303325 3122.747626
2025-08-10 53.734134 86.485834 144.241478 262.693595 527.429980 1180.770823 3348.019492
2025-08-17 52.690074 85.866335 145.378382 270.153002 557.477088 1296.441997 3910.347054
2025-08-24 50.649249 83.327105 142.716577 269.368559 567.875236 1360.983895 4315.183107
2025-08-31 48.257042 80.013200 138.353299 264.533602 567.761524 1395.843640 4620.245243
2025-09-07 46.640752 78.034905 136.436627 264.846176 580.561282 1471.340125 5130.998482
2025-09-14 44.464754 74.900786 132.056718 259.303085 577.655485 1498.732263 5445.231723